Arkansas St at South Alabama Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Arkansas St by 0.27
TOTAL POINTS
155
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
South Alabama
Arkansas St 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
67
D+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
74
C
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
South Alabama
Arkansas St
| 164 | Overall | 144 |
| 198 | Power | 151 |
| 254 | Offensive | 70 |
| 143 | Defensive | 304 |
| 222 | SoS (Current) | 240 |
| 220 | SoS (Full Season) | 237 |
Arkansas St#14451%
South Alabama#16449%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Arkansas St 51%, South Alabama 49% at South Alabama.
Arkansas St's win probability against South Alabama has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St's win probability against South Alabama is trending down — from 60% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Arkansas St's win probability against South Alabama has held at 64% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Arkansas St favored
South Alabama favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At South Alabama | Neutral | At Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 51% | 57% | 64% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
South Alabama
Arkansas St
|
2-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-2 (0%) |
|
19-12 (61.3%) |
Overall |
18-12 (60%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
9-11 (45%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-9 (52.6%) |
|
10-1 (90.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
South Alabama
Arkansas St
| #125 Troy | Best Win | #115 N Dakota St |
| #280 Louisiana | Worst Loss | #311 Georgia St |
| 35 pts vs #359 ULM | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #194 Bowling Green |
| 26 pts vs #165 ETSU | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #60 SMU |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
South Alabama
Arkansas St
| 73.2 | Points per Game | 81.8 |
| 71.3 | Points Against | 78 |
| 71.8 | Home PPG | 82.2 |
| 66.3 | Home PA | 72.5 |
| 73.9 | Away PPG | 81.7 |
| 74.7 | Away PA | 82.4 |
| 448-524 | Opponent Record | 468-474 |
| 208.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 197.8 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
South Alabama
Arkansas St
| Mar 17 | at Auburn (22-16) | L67-78 | Mar 5 | Ga Southern (19-16) | L77-80 |
| Mar 6 | Ga Southern (19-16) | L85-94 | Feb 27 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W81-58 |
| Feb 27 | vs Southern Miss (17-16) | L55-68 | Feb 24 | vs Southern Miss (17-16) | W89-84 |
| Feb 25 | vs ULM (2-28) | W89-54 | Feb 21 | at ULM (2-28) | W102-94 |
| Feb 21 | vs Troy (20-12) | W65-54 | Feb 19 | at Louisiana (11-22) | W79-62 |
| Feb 19 | vs Texas St (17-13) | L82-90 | Feb 14 | vs South Alabama (19-12) | L88-92 |
| Feb 16 | at Marshall (18-13) | L80-84 | Feb 11 | vs ULM (2-28) | W103-70 |
| Feb 14 | at Arkansas St (18-12) | W92-88 | Feb 7 | vs Bowling Green (15-14) | W91-54 |
| Feb 12 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | W84-78 | Feb 4 | at Coastal Car (18-13) | W70-66 |
| Feb 7 | vs Buffalo (15-15) | W81-69 | Jan 31 | vs Marshall (18-13) | L61-70 |