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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: San Francisco 87%, Louisiana 13% at San Francisco.
San Francisco's win probability against Louisiana is trending down — from 85% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
San Francisco's win probability against Louisiana is trending down — from 89% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
San Francisco's win probability against Louisiana is trending down — from 92% to 87% over the last 6 updates.