Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Oregon 56%, Penn St 44% at Penn St.
Oregon's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
Oregon's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 66% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Oregon's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 73% to 70% over the last 6 updates.