Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Penn St 87%, Lafayette 13% at Penn St.
Penn St's win probability against Lafayette is trending down — from 85% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
Penn St's win probability against Lafayette is trending down — from 88% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Penn St's win probability against Lafayette is trending down — from 92% to 87% over the last 6 updates.