Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Indiana 73%, Penn St 27% at Penn St.
Indiana's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 79% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
Indiana's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 84% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
Indiana's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 88% to 84% over the last 6 updates.