Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois 81%, Oregon 19% at Oregon.
Illinois' win probability against Oregon is trending down — from 87% to 81% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois' win probability against Oregon is trending down — from 90% to 86% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois' win probability against Oregon is trending down — from 93% to 89% over the last 6 updates.