Dayton at Northwestern Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Northwestern by 5.13
TOTAL POINTS
141
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Northwestern
Dayton 
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
96
A
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Northwestern
Dayton
| 80 | Overall | 59 |
| 59 | Power | 83 |
| 98 | Offensive | 142 |
| 30 | Defensive | 38 |
| 47 | SoS (Current) | 101 |
| 47 | SoS (Full Season) | 101 |
Northwestern#8065%
Dayton#5935%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Northwestern 65%, Dayton 35% at Northwestern.
Northwestern's win probability against Dayton has held at 50% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Northwestern's win probability against Dayton has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Northwestern's win probability against Dayton has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Northwestern favored
Dayton favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Dayton | Neutral | At Northwestern |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 53% | 61% | 68% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 67% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 52% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 51% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 52% | 59% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 51% | 59% | 66% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 50% | 58% | 65% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Northwestern
Dayton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
15-19 (44.1%) |
Overall |
25-12 (67.6%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Home |
14-4 (77.8%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
0-11 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
6-15 (28.6%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
14-11 (56%) |
|
9-4 (69.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Northwestern
Dayton
| #58 Indiana | Best Win | #35 St Louis |
| #106 Rutgers | Worst Loss | #236 La Salle |
| 47 pts vs #309 Cleveland St | Largest MOV | 40 pts vs #334 Canisius |
| 40 pts vs #10 Illinois | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #35 St Louis |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Northwestern
Dayton
| 73.1 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 72 | Points Against | 69.3 |
| 77.4 | Home PPG | 76.1 |
| 69.6 | Home PA | 64.8 |
| 66.7 | Away PPG | 72.1 |
| 74.5 | Away PA | 72.8 |
| 675-483 | Opponent Record | 692-519 |
| 90.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 130.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northwestern
Dayton
| Mar 12 | #5 Purdue (30-9) | L68-81 | Mar 25 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | L55-61 |
| Mar 11 | Indiana (18-14) | W74-61 | Mar 21 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | W80-61 |
| Mar 10 | Penn St (12-20) | W76-66 | Mar 18 | at Bradley (20-13) | W80-66 |
| Mar 7 | at Minnesota (15-18) | L66-67 | Mar 15 | VCU (28-8) | L62-70 |
| Mar 4 | vs #5 Purdue (30-9) | L66-70 | Mar 14 | St Louis (28-6) | W70-69 |
| Feb 28 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W63-62 | Mar 13 | St Bonaventure (16-17) | W68-63 |
| Feb 24 | at Indiana (18-14) | W72-68 | Mar 6 | vs VCU (28-8) | L62-68 |
| Feb 18 | vs Maryland (13-22) | W78-74 | Mar 3 | at Richmond (14-17) | W65-60 |
| Feb 14 | at #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L49-68 | Feb 27 | at G Washington (18-16) | W68-66 |
| Feb 11 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L75-87 | Feb 24 | vs St Louis (28-6) | W77-62 |