Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Wichita St 60%, North Texas 40% at North Texas.
Wichita St's win probability against North Texas is trending down — from 63% to 60% over the last 6 updates.
Wichita St's win probability against North Texas has swung between 67% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Wichita St's win probability against North Texas has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.