Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: New Mexico 96%, Ark Little Rock 4% at New Mexico.
New Mexico's win probability against Ark Little Rock is trending down — from 96% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
New Mexico's win probability against Ark Little Rock has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
New Mexico's win probability against Ark Little Rock has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.