Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: N Illinois 52%, IUPUI 48% at N Illinois.
N Illinois' win probability against IUPUI has held at 37% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
N Illinois' win probability against IUPUI is trending up — from 42% to 45% over the last 6 updates.
N Illinois' win probability against IUPUI is trending up — from 49% to 52% over the last 6 updates.