Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Jacksonville St
N Dakota St
|
74
C
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
85
B
|
|
69
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Jacksonville St
6099
N Dakota St
6099
|
||
|
87
B+
6099
|
Defensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
Jacksonville St
6099
N Dakota St
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
67
D+
|
Jacksonville St
N Dakota St
| 233 | Overall | 115 |
| 199 | Power | 135 |
| 277 | Offensive | 145 |
| 116 | Defensive | 132 |
| 176 | SoS (Current) | 304 |
| 176 | SoS (Future) | 304 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: N Dakota St 68%, Jacksonville St 32% at a neutral site.
N Dakota St's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
N Dakota St's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
N Dakota St's win probability against Jacksonville St has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Jacksonville St | Neutral | At N Dakota St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 1 | 28% | 37% | 46% |
| Wk 2 | 29% | 39% | 48% |
| Wk 3 | 52% | 61% | 71% |
| Wk 4 | 69% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 6 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 8 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 9 | 73% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 10 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 11 | 60% | 69% | 78% |
| Wk 12 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 13 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 15 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 17 | 59% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 18 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 20 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 21 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 22 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 23 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 24 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
Jacksonville St
N Dakota St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
12-17 (41.4%) |
Overall |
24-8 (75%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
10-5 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-6 (33.3%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
21-2 (91.3%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Jacksonville St
N Dakota St
| #136 Kennesaw | Best Win | #147 CS Northridge |
| #338 North Alabama | Worst Loss | #260 UTEP |
| 19 pts vs #136 Kennesaw | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #363 Missouri KC |
| 15 pts vs #116 Sam Houston St | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #9 Michigan St |
Jacksonville St
N Dakota St
| 69.9 | Points per Game | 78.7 |
| 70.6 | Points Against | 71.4 |
| 70.2 | Home PPG | 82.9 |
| 68.3 | Home PA | 70.3 |
| 72.2 | Away PPG | 79.3 |
| 74.4 | Away PA | 75.1 |
| 436-439 | Opponent Record | 411-557 |
| 188.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 234.1 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Jacksonville St
N Dakota St
| Mar 10 | New Mexico St (13-16) | L63-68 | Mar 19 | #9 Michigan St (27-8) | L67-92 |
| Mar 7 | at UTEP (8-20) | W64-61 | Mar 8 | North Dakota (15-17) | W70-62 |
| Mar 5 | at New Mexico St (13-16) | L75-77 | Mar 7 | NE Omaha (12-17) | W74-50 |
| Feb 28 | vs Liberty (23-8) | L78-81 | Mar 5 | Oral Roberts (7-23) | W76-65 |
| Feb 26 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W80-70 | Feb 28 | vs North Dakota (15-17) | W96-63 |
| Feb 21 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L78-82 | Feb 26 | at St Thomas MN (21-10) | L62-84 |
| Feb 18 | at Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L71-77 | Feb 21 | vs Missouri KC (1-27) | W95-59 |
| Feb 14 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | L70-79 | Feb 18 | at S Dakota St (11-18) | W74-66 |
| Feb 11 | vs UTEP (8-20) | L64-69 | Feb 14 | at North Dakota (15-17) | W83-66 |
| Feb 7 | vs Kennesaw (18-14) | W77-58 | Feb 7 | vs NE Omaha (12-17) | W92-84 |
vs
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