Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: E Illinois 59%, Missouri KC 41% at Missouri KC.
E Illinois' win probability against Missouri KC has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
E Illinois' win probability against Missouri KC has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
E Illinois' win probability against Missouri KC is trending down — from 75% to 72% over the last 6 updates.