Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Texas 62%, Mississippi 38% at Mississippi.
Texas' win probability against Mississippi has swung between 57% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.
Texas' win probability against Mississippi has swung between 64% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.
Texas' win probability against Mississippi has swung between 71% and 76% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 75% now.