Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Minnesota 72%, Penn St 28% at Minnesota.
Minnesota's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 64% to 58% over the last 6 updates.
Minnesota's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 70% to 66% over the last 6 updates.
Minnesota's win probability against Penn St is trending down — from 77% to 72% over the last 6 updates.