Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Memphis 55%, UAB 45% at Memphis.
Memphis' win probability against UAB is trending down — from 45% to 42% over the last 6 updates.
Memphis' win probability against UAB has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Memphis' win probability against UAB is trending down — from 58% to 55% over the last 6 updates.