Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Louisville 82%, Memphis 18% at Memphis.
Louisville's win probability against Memphis is trending down — from 89% to 82% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against Memphis is trending down — from 92% to 86% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against Memphis is trending down — from 94% to 90% over the last 6 updates.