Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Maryland 94%, Morgan St 6% at Maryland.
Maryland's win probability against Morgan St is trending down — from 92% to 88% over the last 6 updates.
Maryland's win probability against Morgan St is trending down — from 95% to 91% over the last 6 updates.
Maryland's win probability against Morgan St has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.