Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Loyola-Chicago 71%, IUPUI 29% at Loyola-Chicago.
Loyola-Chicago's win probability against IUPUI has swung between 57% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Loyola-Chicago's win probability against IUPUI has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Loyola-Chicago's win probability against IUPUI has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.