Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Louisville 64%, Texas 36% at Louisville.
Louisville's win probability against Texas is trending down — from 63% to 49% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against Texas is trending down — from 70% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against Texas is trending down — from 76% to 64% over the last 6 updates.