Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Louisiana
Troy
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
81
B-
|
|
61
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Louisiana
6099
Troy
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Louisiana
6099
Troy
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
81
B-
|
Louisiana
Troy
| 280 | Overall | 125 |
| 309 | Power | 166 |
| 354 | Offensive | 172 |
| 148 | Defensive | 176 |
| 205 | SoS (Current) | 171 |
| 205 | SoS (Future) | 171 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Troy 75%, Louisiana 25% at Louisiana.
Troy's win probability against Louisiana has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Louisiana has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Louisiana has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Louisiana | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 1 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 2 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 3 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 4 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 5 | 82% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 6 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 7 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 8 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 9 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 10 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 11 | 82% | 87% | 92% |
| Wk 12 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 13 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 14 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 15 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 16 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 17 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 18 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 75% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 23 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
Louisiana
Troy
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
11-22 (33.3%) |
Overall |
20-12 (62.5%) |
|
7-8 (46.7%) |
Home |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
3-13 (18.8%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-18 (18.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-10 (56.5%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Louisiana
Troy
| #163 South Alabama | Best Win | #40 San Diego St |
| #305 Lamar | Worst Loss | #264 West Georgia |
| 14 pts vs #359 ULM | Largest MOV | 26 pts vs #186 Southern Miss |
| 37 pts vs #39 Santa Clara | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #15 Nebraska |
Louisiana
Troy
| 63.7 | Points per Game | 77.3 |
| 70.7 | Points Against | 74.5 |
| 66.7 | Home PPG | 77.5 |
| 67.5 | Home PA | 68.7 |
| 59 | Away PPG | 79.8 |
| 72.3 | Away PA | 80.2 |
| 507-520 | Opponent Record | 515-498 |
| 201.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 186.1 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Louisiana
Troy
| Mar 4 | James Madison (17-15) | L72-87 | Mar 19 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L47-76 |
| Mar 3 | Georgia St (8-22) | W84-75 | Mar 9 | Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-61 |
| Feb 27 | at Arkansas St (18-12) | L58-81 | Mar 8 | Southern Miss (17-16) | W78-70 |
| Feb 24 | at Troy (20-12) | L59-78 | Feb 27 | vs ULM (2-28) | W80-65 |
| Feb 21 | vs Texas St (17-13) | W67-54 | Feb 24 | vs Louisiana (11-22) | W78-59 |
| Feb 19 | vs Arkansas St (18-12) | L62-79 | Feb 21 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L54-65 |
| Feb 16 | at Old Dominion (11-21) | L72-83 | Feb 18 | at ULM (2-28) | W77-76 |
| Feb 12 | vs Coastal Car (18-13) | L65-69 | Feb 14 | at Southern Miss (17-16) | L65-69 |
| Feb 7 | vs C Michigan (8-21) | W85-80 | Feb 11 | at Texas St (17-13) | L62-74 |
| Feb 4 | at James Madison (17-15) | W64-61 | Feb 7 | vs Akron (27-6) | W79-69 |
vs
College Basketball