Dayton at Liberty Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 2.24
TOTAL POINTS
144
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Liberty
Dayton 
|
91
A-
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
86
B
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
85
B
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
85
B
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Liberty
Dayton
| 78 | Overall | 59 |
| 122 | Power | 83 |
| 135 | Offensive | 142 |
| 135 | Defensive | 38 |
| 172 | SoS (Current) | 101 |
| 172 | SoS (Full Season) | 101 |
Dayton#5957%
Liberty#7843%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Dayton 57%, Liberty 43% at Liberty.
Dayton's win probability against Liberty is trending down — from 60% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton's win probability against Liberty is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton's win probability against Liberty is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton favored
Liberty favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Liberty | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 54% | 62% | 69% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 60% | 67% | 74% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 60% | 67% | 74% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 63% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 63% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 63% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 63% | 70% | 76% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 57% | 64% | 71% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Liberty
Dayton
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
23-8 (74.2%) |
Overall |
25-12 (67.6%) |
|
11-2 (84.6%) |
Home |
14-4 (77.8%) |
|
11-3 (78.6%) |
Away |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
10-7 (58.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
14-11 (56%) |
|
13-1 (92.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Liberty
Dayton
| #57 Dayton | Best Win | #35 St Louis |
| #220 Missouri St | Worst Loss | #236 La Salle |
| 42 pts vs #352 Coppin St | Largest MOV | 40 pts vs #334 Canisius |
| 40 pts vs #49 NC State | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #35 St Louis |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Liberty
Dayton
| 75.8 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 72.2 | Points Against | 69.3 |
| 80.1 | Home PPG | 76.1 |
| 71.8 | Home PA | 64.8 |
| 73.4 | Away PPG | 72.1 |
| 72 | Away PA | 72.8 |
| 480-479 | Opponent Record | 692-519 |
| 175.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 130.8 |
| W 16 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Liberty
Dayton
| Mar 21 | at Nevada (24-13) | L63-73 | Mar 25 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | L55-61 |
| Mar 17 | at George Mason (22-10) | W77-71 | Mar 21 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | W80-61 |
| Mar 11 | Missouri St (13-18) | L69-77 | Mar 18 | at Bradley (20-13) | W80-66 |
| Mar 7 | vs Sam Houston St (19-12) | W79-72 | Mar 15 | VCU (28-8) | L62-70 |
| Mar 5 | vs Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L71-76 | Mar 14 | St Louis (28-6) | W70-69 |
| Feb 28 | at Jacksonville St (12-17) | W81-78 | Mar 13 | St Bonaventure (16-17) | W68-63 |
| Feb 26 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | L65-74 | Mar 6 | vs VCU (28-8) | L62-68 |
| Feb 21 | vs WKU (16-14) | L73-94 | Mar 3 | at Richmond (14-17) | W65-60 |
| Feb 19 | vs Florida Intl (12-17) | W90-89 | Feb 27 | at G Washington (18-16) | W68-66 |
| Feb 14 | at UTEP (8-20) | W73-64 | Feb 24 | vs St Louis (28-6) | W77-62 |