Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St Joseph's PA 58%, La Salle 42% at La Salle.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against La Salle has swung between 58% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against La Salle has swung between 65% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against La Salle has held at 71% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.