Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Troy 53%, James Madison 47% at James Madison.
Troy's win probability against James Madison has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against James Madison has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against James Madison has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.