Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Iowa
Illinois
|
96
A
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
90
A-
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Iowa
6099
Illinois
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
Iowa
6099
Illinois
6099
|
||
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Future) |
98
A+
|
Iowa
Illinois
| 29 | Overall | 10 |
| 26 | Power | 6 |
| 82 | Offensive | 11 |
| 9 | Defensive | 19 |
| 44 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 44 | SoS (Future) | 9 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois 65%, Iowa 35% at Iowa.
Illinois' win probability against Iowa is trending down — from 68% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois' win probability against Iowa has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois' win probability against Iowa has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Iowa | Neutral | At Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 2 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 3 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 4 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 5 | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 6 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 9 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 10 | 56% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 11 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 12 | 56% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 13 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 15 | 61% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 16 | 66% | 74% | 82% |
| Wk 17 | 67% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 18 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 20 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 22 | 66% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 23 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 24 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
Iowa
Illinois
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
25-13 (65.8%) |
Overall |
28-9 (75.7%) |
|
15-3 (83.3%) |
Home |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Away |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
4-9 (30.8%) |
Versus Top 25 |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
11-10 (52.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
16-9 (64%) |
|
14-3 (82.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Iowa
Illinois
| #8 Florida | Best Win | #5 Purdue |
| #128 Penn St | Worst Loss | #24 UCLA |
| 55 pts vs #336 Bucknell | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #284 Jackson St |
| 21 pts vs #5 Purdue | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #1 Michigan |
Iowa
Illinois
| 74.8 | Points per Game | 83.2 |
| 66.2 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 78.6 | Home PPG | 86.1 |
| 64 | Home PA | 65.8 |
| 70.9 | Away PPG | 84.8 |
| 72.6 | Away PA | 76.1 |
| 731-560 | Opponent Record | 786-493 |
| 96.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 77.2 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Iowa
Illinois
| Mar 28 | #10 Illinois (28-9) | L59-71 | Apr 4 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L62-71 |
| Mar 26 | #15 Nebraska (28-7) | W77-71 | Mar 28 | Iowa (25-13) | W71-59 |
| Mar 22 | #8 Florida (27-8) | W73-72 | Mar 26 | #6 Houston (30-7) | W65-55 |
| Mar 20 | Clemson (24-11) | W67-61 | Mar 21 | VCU (28-8) | W76-55 |
| Mar 12 | Ohio St (21-13) | L69-72 | Mar 19 | Penn (17-12) | W105-70 |
| Mar 11 | Maryland (13-22) | W75-64 | Mar 13 | #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L88-91 |
| Mar 8 | at #15 Nebraska (28-7) | L75-84 | Mar 8 | at Maryland (13-22) | W78-72 |
| Mar 6 | vs Maryland (13-22) | W83-64 | Mar 3 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W80-54 |
| Mar 5 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L68-71 | Feb 27 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L70-84 |
| Feb 28 | at Penn St (12-20) | L69-71 | Feb 21 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L94-95 |
vs
College Basketball