Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Iowa St 98%, Northern Arizona 2% at Iowa St.
Iowa St's win probability against Northern Arizona has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Iowa St's win probability against Northern Arizona has held at 98% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.