Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Iowa St 69%, Kansas 31% at Iowa St.
Iowa St's win probability against Kansas has swung between 54% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Iowa St's win probability against Kansas is trending up — from 60% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Kansas has swung between 67% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.