Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
UTRGV
Illinois
|
80
B-
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
UTRGV
6099
Illinois
6099
|
||
|
85
B
6099
|
Defensive |
97
A+
6099
|
|
UTRGV
6099
Illinois
6099
|
||
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
98
A+
|
UTRGV
Illinois
| 178 | Overall | 10 |
| 140 | Power | 6 |
| 166 | Offensive | 11 |
| 136 | Defensive | 19 |
| 250 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 250 | SoS (Future) | 9 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois 98%, UTRGV 2% at Illinois.
Illinois' win probability against UTRGV has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois' win probability against UTRGV has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Illinois' win probability against UTRGV has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At UTRGV | Neutral | At Illinois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 5 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 9 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 10 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 11 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 12 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 14 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 15 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 16 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 17 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 20 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 21 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 22 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
UTRGV
Illinois
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
17-14 (54.8%) |
Overall |
28-9 (75.7%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
14-3 (82.4%) |
|
8-8 (50%) |
Away |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
5-9 (35.7%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
16-9 (64%) |
|
15-7 (68.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
UTRGV
Illinois
| #68 McNeese St | Best Win | #5 Purdue |
| #318 Northwestern LA | Worst Loss | #24 UCLA |
| 23 pts vs #279 Southern Utah | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #284 Jackson St |
| 20 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #1 Michigan |
UTRGV
Illinois
| 73.7 | Points per Game | 83.2 |
| 70.6 | Points Against | 68.8 |
| 67.3 | Home PPG | 86.1 |
| 64.6 | Home PA | 65.8 |
| 77.8 | Away PPG | 84.8 |
| 74.8 | Away PA | 76.1 |
| 454-499 | Opponent Record | 786-493 |
| 216.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 77.2 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 12 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
UTRGV
Illinois
| Mar 10 | McNeese St (26-6) | L80-84 | Apr 4 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L62-71 |
| Mar 9 | Nicholls St (13-19) | W86-68 | Mar 28 | Iowa (25-13) | W71-59 |
| Mar 2 | vs Northwestern LA (8-22) | W74-62 | Mar 26 | #6 Houston (30-7) | W65-55 |
| Feb 28 | vs East Texas A&M (9-21) | W63-55 | Mar 21 | VCU (28-8) | W76-55 |
| Feb 23 | at McNeese St (26-6) | L68-75 | Mar 19 | Penn (17-12) | W105-70 |
| Feb 21 | at SE Louisiana (8-22) | W96-75 | Mar 13 | #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L88-91 |
| Feb 16 | vs Lamar (10-19) | W70-65 | Mar 8 | at Maryland (13-22) | W78-72 |
| Feb 14 | vs SF Austin (26-6) | L57-66 | Mar 3 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W80-54 |
| Feb 9 | at Nicholls St (13-19) | W92-72 | Feb 27 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L70-84 |
| Feb 7 | at New Orleans (15-18) | W95-76 | Feb 21 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L94-95 |
vs
College Basketball