Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: IUPUI 63%, N Illinois 37% at IUPUI.
IUPUI's win probability against N Illinois is trending down — from 51% to 48% over the last 6 updates.
IUPUI's win probability against N Illinois is trending down — from 58% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
IUPUI's win probability against N Illinois has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.