Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Houston 87%, Oklahoma St 13% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 78% and 85% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.
Houston's win probability against Oklahoma St is trending down — from 86% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Houston's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 87% and 92% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 87% now.