Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Houston 72%, Kansas 28% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Kansas has swung between 55% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.
Houston's win probability against Kansas has swung between 63% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.
Houston's win probability against Kansas has swung between 70% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.