Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Hawaii 57%, UC Irvine 43% at Hawaii.
Hawaii's win probability against UC Irvine has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Hawaii's win probability against UC Irvine is trending up — from 48% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Hawaii's win probability against UC Irvine has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.