Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Harvard
Penn
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
67
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Harvard
6099
Penn
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Harvard
6099
Penn
6099
|
||
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
80
B-
|
Harvard
Penn
| 191 | Overall | 129 |
| 172 | Power | 159 |
| 298 | Offensive | 152 |
| 65 | Defensive | 192 |
| 281 | SoS (Current) | 177 |
| 281 | SoS (Future) | 177 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Harvard 57%, Penn 43% at Harvard.
Harvard's win probability against Penn has held at 37% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Harvard's win probability against Penn has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Harvard's win probability against Penn has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Penn | Neutral | At Harvard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 1 | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 2 | 72% | 79% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 5 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 9 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 10 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 11 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 12 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 13 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 15 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 16 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 17 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 20 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 22 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 23 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 24 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
Harvard
Penn
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
16-12 (57.1%) |
Overall |
17-12 (58.6%) |
|
7-4 (63.6%) |
Home |
11-2 (84.6%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Away |
4-8 (33.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
9-8 (52.9%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
8-2 (80%) |
Harvard
Penn
| #88 Yale | Best Win | #77 St Joseph's PA |
| #325 Northeastern | Worst Loss | #291 Princeton |
| 28 pts vs #342 Holy Cross | Largest MOV | 21 pts vs #328 Brown |
| 26 pts vs #7 St John's | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #10 Illinois |
Harvard
Penn
| 69.8 | Points per Game | 74.4 |
| 67.3 | Points Against | 74.4 |
| 72.1 | Home PPG | 73.2 |
| 69.4 | Home PA | 69.6 |
| 68.4 | Away PPG | 77 |
| 65.6 | Away PA | 76.3 |
| 374-438 | Opponent Record | 449-408 |
| 226.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 188.8 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Harvard
Penn
| Mar 14 | Penn (17-12) | L60-62 | Mar 19 | #10 Illinois (28-9) | L70-105 |
| Mar 6 | vs Columbia (14-12) | W81-71 | Mar 15 | Yale (22-7) | W88-84 |
| Feb 28 | at Penn (17-12) | L61-64 | Mar 14 | Harvard (16-12) | W62-60 |
| Feb 27 | at Princeton (8-20) | W58-56 | Mar 6 | at Brown (7-18) | W82-61 |
| Feb 21 | at Cornell (13-13) | W73-54 | Feb 28 | vs Harvard (16-12) | W64-61 |
| Feb 14 | vs Yale (22-7) | L75-76 | Feb 27 | vs Dartmouth (9-16) | W80-71 |
| Feb 13 | vs Brown (7-18) | W56-53 | Feb 21 | at Yale (22-7) | L70-74 |
| Feb 7 | at Dartmouth (9-16) | W71-58 | Feb 14 | vs Cornell (13-13) | W82-76 |
| Jan 31 | at Yale (22-7) | W67-65 | Feb 13 | vs Columbia (14-12) | W76-67 |
| Jan 30 | at Brown (7-18) | W69-59 | Feb 7 | vs Princeton (8-20) | W61-60 |
vs
College Basketball