Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Georgetown 60%, Xavier 40% at Georgetown.
Georgetown's win probability against Xavier is trending up — from 44% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
Georgetown's win probability against Xavier has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Georgetown's win probability against Xavier has held at 60% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.