Texas St at Fresno St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Fresno St by 10.6
TOTAL POINTS
142
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Texas St
Fresno St 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
69
D+
|
Offensive |
82
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
89
B+
|
|
89
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Texas St
Fresno St
| 186 | Overall | 162 |
| 243 | Power | 113 |
| 284 | Offensive | 162 |
| 177 | Defensive | 94 |
| 94 | SoS (Current) | 98 |
| 94 | SoS (Full Season) | 98 |
Fresno St#16279%
Texas St#18621%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Fresno St 79%, Texas St 21% at Fresno St.
Fresno St's win probability against Texas St is trending down — from 73% to 66% over the last 6 updates.
Fresno St's win probability against Texas St is trending down — from 79% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
Fresno St's win probability against Texas St is trending down — from 84% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
Fresno St favored
Texas St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Texas St | Neutral | At Fresno St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 73% | 79% | 84% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 73% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 73% | 79% | 84% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 73% | 79% | 84% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 73% | 79% | 84% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 73% | 79% | 84% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 66% | 73% | 79% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Texas St
Fresno St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
17-13 (56.7%) |
Overall |
12-19 (38.7%) |
|
14-1 (93.3%) |
Home |
9-8 (52.9%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Away |
2-9 (18.2%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
7-10 (41.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-17 (22.7%) |
|
10-3 (76.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Texas St
Fresno St
| #125 Troy | Best Win | #75 Colorado St |
| #280 Louisiana | Worst Loss | #331 CS Bakersfield |
| 17 pts vs #261 Old Dominion | Largest MOV | 30 pts vs #321 Air Force |
| 35 pts vs #194 Bowling Green | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #73 Grand Canyon |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Texas St
Fresno St
| 71.9 | Points per Game | 72.4 |
| 72.5 | Points Against | 73.5 |
| 73.3 | Home PPG | 74.3 |
| 66.3 | Home PA | 71.9 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 71.2 |
| 79.6 | Away PA | 77.7 |
| 426-508 | Opponent Record | 547-475 |
| 216.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 130.9 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | L 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Texas St
Fresno St
| Mar 6 | Southern Miss (17-16) | L77-81 | Mar 11 | Colorado St (20-13) | L63-67 |
| Feb 27 | vs Appalachian St (17-13) | W60-57 | Mar 7 | at Grand Canyon (20-12) | L60-85 |
| Feb 21 | at Louisiana (11-22) | L54-67 | Mar 3 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | W82-68 |
| Feb 19 | at South Alabama (19-12) | W90-82 | Feb 28 | vs Boise St (19-11) | L53-69 |
| Feb 14 | vs ULM (2-28) | W95-84 | Feb 24 | at Colorado St (20-13) | L70-74 |
| Feb 11 | vs Troy (20-12) | W74-62 | Feb 21 | vs New Mexico (25-12) | L78-80 |
| Feb 7 | vs W Michigan (9-20) | W77-61 | Feb 17 | at Wyoming (17-15) | L82-92 |
| Feb 4 | at Ga Southern (19-16) | W77-71 | Feb 14 | vs Air Force (3-29) | W93-63 |
| Jan 31 | vs Old Dominion (11-21) | W81-64 | Feb 10 | at #21 Utah St (28-7) | L78-91 |
| Jan 28 | vs Marshall (18-13) | W72-68 | Feb 7 | at Nevada (24-13) | L59-69 |