Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: E Michigan 54%, Buffalo 46% at E Michigan.
E Michigan's win probability against Buffalo has held at 39% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
E Michigan's win probability against Buffalo is trending up — from 44% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
E Michigan's win probability against Buffalo has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.