Memphis at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 6.56
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Memphis
Dayton 
|
84
B
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
87
B+
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
86
B
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
91
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Memphis
Dayton
| 140 | Overall | 59 |
| 112 | Power | 83 |
| 119 | Offensive | 142 |
| 138 | Defensive | 38 |
| 79 | SoS (Current) | 101 |
| 79 | SoS (Full Season) | 101 |
Dayton#5969%
Memphis#14031%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Dayton 69%, Memphis 31% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against Memphis has swung between 55% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 55% now.
Dayton's win probability against Memphis has swung between 62% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.
Dayton's win probability against Memphis has swung between 69% and 74% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.
Dayton favored
Memphis favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Memphis | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 47% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 55% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 60% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 73% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 60% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 60% | 67% | 73% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 55% | 62% | 69% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Memphis
Dayton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
13-19 (40.6%) |
Overall |
25-12 (67.6%) |
|
10-6 (62.5%) |
Home |
14-4 (77.8%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-16 (23.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
14-11 (56%) |
|
8-3 (72.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Memphis
Dayton
| #67 Baylor | Best Win | #35 St Louis |
| #240 East Carolina | Worst Loss | #236 La Salle |
| 27 pts vs #131 FL Atlantic | Largest MOV | 40 pts vs #334 Canisius |
| 26 pts vs #27 Louisville | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #35 St Louis |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Memphis
Dayton
| 75.2 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 76.7 | Points Against | 69.3 |
| 77.5 | Home PPG | 76.1 |
| 70.9 | Home PA | 64.8 |
| 73.8 | Away PPG | 72.1 |
| 83.8 | Away PA | 72.8 |
| 575-471 | Opponent Record | 692-519 |
| 120.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 130.8 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Memphis
Dayton
| Mar 11 | Tulane (17-15) | L69-81 | Mar 25 | vs Illinois St (22-13) | L55-61 |
| Mar 8 | at Tulane (17-15) | W96-95 | Mar 21 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | W80-61 |
| Mar 5 | vs South Florida (24-9) | L89-96 | Mar 18 | at Bradley (20-13) | W80-66 |
| Mar 1 | at East Carolina (10-20) | L68-84 | Mar 15 | VCU (28-8) | L62-70 |
| Feb 26 | vs Wichita St (23-12) | L82-88 | Mar 14 | St Louis (28-6) | W70-69 |
| Feb 22 | vs UAB (19-12) | L67-78 | Mar 13 | St Bonaventure (16-17) | W68-63 |
| Feb 19 | at South Florida (24-9) | L66-87 | Mar 6 | vs VCU (28-8) | L62-68 |
| Feb 14 | at #21 Utah St (28-7) | L75-99 | Mar 3 | at Richmond (14-17) | W65-60 |
| Feb 12 | at North Texas (17-14) | L69-76 | Feb 27 | at G Washington (18-16) | W68-66 |
| Feb 8 | vs Charlotte (16-17) | W77-54 | Feb 24 | vs St Louis (28-6) | W77-62 |