Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Dayton 65%, George Mason 35% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against George Mason has swung between 48% and 53% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
Dayton's win probability against George Mason has held at 57% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against George Mason has held at 65% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.