Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Dartmouth 58%, Brown 42% at Dartmouth.
Dartmouth's win probability against Brown is trending down — from 48% to 45% over the last 6 updates.
Dartmouth's win probability against Brown has held at 52% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dartmouth's win probability against Brown is trending down — from 61% to 58% over the last 6 updates.