Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Houston 67%, Cincinnati 33% at Cincinnati.
Houston's win probability against Cincinnati has swung between 67% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Houston's win probability against Cincinnati is trending down — from 75% to 72% over the last 6 updates.
Houston's win probability against Cincinnati has swung between 78% and 83% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.