Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: California 95%, Alabama St 5% at California.
California's win probability against Alabama St is trending down — from 95% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
California's win probability against Alabama St is trending down — from 97% to 93% over the last 6 updates.
California's win probability against Alabama St has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.