Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Bucknell
Buffalo
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
77
C+
|
|
64
D
6099
|
Offensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Bucknell
6099
Buffalo
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Bucknell
6099
Buffalo
6099
|
||
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
77
C+
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Future) |
77
C+
|
Bucknell
Buffalo
| 336 | Overall | 214 |
| 321 | Power | 206 |
| 327 | Offensive | 150 |
| 266 | Defensive | 262 |
| 316 | SoS (Current) | 207 |
| 316 | SoS (Future) | 207 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Buffalo 79%, Bucknell 21% at a neutral site.
Buffalo's win probability against Bucknell has held at 72% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Buffalo's win probability against Bucknell has held at 79% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Buffalo's win probability against Bucknell has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Bucknell | Neutral | At Buffalo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 19% | 27% | 35% |
| Wk 1 | 18% | 25% | 33% |
| Wk 2 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 3 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 4 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 5 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 6 | 74% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 7 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 8 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 10 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 11 | 74% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 12 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 13 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 15 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 16 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 17 | 74% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 18 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 20 | 72% | 79% | 86% |
| Wk 21 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 22 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 23 | 72% | 79% | 86% |
| Wk 24 | 72% | 79% | 86% |
Bucknell
Buffalo
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
10-23 (30.3%) |
Overall |
15-15 (50%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Home |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
4-12 (25%) |
Away |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-13 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-9 (43.8%) |
|
10-10 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Bucknell
Buffalo
| #251 Mt St Mary's | Best Win | #95 DePaul |
| #343 Army | Worst Loss | #313 N Illinois |
| 13 pts vs #353 Rider | Largest MOV | 18 pts vs #334 Canisius |
| 55 pts vs #29 Iowa | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #140 Toledo |
Bucknell
Buffalo
| 67.4 | Points per Game | 77.5 |
| 76.3 | Points Against | 77 |
| 71.6 | Home PPG | 76.4 |
| 76.3 | Home PA | 77.9 |
| 65.3 | Away PPG | 79.4 |
| 75.8 | Away PA | 77.4 |
| 498-533 | Opponent Record | 470-456 |
| 240.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 202.4 |
| L 9 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Bucknell
Buffalo
| Mar 5 | at Navy (24-8) | L69-74 | Mar 12 | Akron (27-6) | L70-73 |
| Mar 3 | vs Army (9-21) | W65-55 | Mar 6 | at Toledo (17-15) | L78-98 |
| Feb 28 | at Lehigh (16-17) | L79-89 | Mar 3 | vs E Michigan (9-21) | W72-67 |
| Feb 25 | at Army (9-21) | W75-73 | Feb 28 | vs C Michigan (8-21) | L70-75 |
| Feb 22 | vs Holy Cross (9-22) | L63-72 | Feb 24 | at Akron (27-6) | L85-99 |
| Feb 18 | vs American Univ (14-16) | L57-75 | Feb 21 | at Massachusetts (16-16) | W86-82 |
| Feb 14 | at Boston Univ (16-17) | L69-82 | Feb 17 | vs N Illinois (7-21) | L70-72 |
| Feb 9 | vs Navy (24-8) | L60-76 | Feb 11 | at Ball St (10-19) | W63-53 |
| Feb 7 | vs Colgate (16-15) | L59-78 | Feb 7 | at South Alabama (19-12) | L69-81 |
| Feb 4 | at American Univ (14-16) | W60-59 | Feb 3 | vs Miami OH (29-2) | L71-73 |
vs
College Basketball