Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Buffalo 66%, Ball St 34% at Buffalo.
Buffalo's win probability against Ball St is trending down — from 58% to 53% over the last 6 updates.
Buffalo's win probability against Ball St is trending down — from 64% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Buffalo's win probability against Ball St is trending down — from 71% to 66% over the last 6 updates.