Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Air Force
Belmont
|
65
D
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
62
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
81
B-
|
Air Force
Belmont
| 321 | Overall | 70 |
| 323 | Power | 82 |
| 342 | Offensive | 46 |
| 229 | Defensive | 178 |
| 85 | SoS (Current) | 165 |
| 85 | SoS (Future) | 165 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Belmont 98%, Air Force 2% at Belmont.
Belmont's win probability against Air Force has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Belmont's win probability against Air Force has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Belmont's win probability against Air Force has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Air Force | Neutral | At Belmont |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 56% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 1 | 84% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 90% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 5 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 7 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 8 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 9 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 10 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 11 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 12 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 13 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 14 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 15 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 16 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 17 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 20 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 21 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 22 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 94% | 96% | 98% |
Air Force
Belmont
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-29 (9.4%) |
Overall |
25-6 (80.6%) |
|
3-15 (16.7%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Away |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-24 (4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Air Force
Belmont
| #263 SIUE | Best Win | #94 Illinois St |
| #258 South Dakota | Worst Loss | #265 Indiana St |
| 14 pts vs #263 SIUE | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #356 St Francis PA |
| 42 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #226 Drake |
Air Force
Belmont
| 61.5 | Points per Game | 83.5 |
| 79.9 | Points Against | 74.1 |
| 65.3 | Home PPG | 85.6 |
| 80.5 | Home PA | 75.9 |
| 57.2 | Away PPG | 80.6 |
| 78.9 | Away PA | 71.9 |
| 599-442 | Opponent Record | 468-519 |
| 124.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 183.3 |
| L 25 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 25 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Air Force
Belmont
| Mar 11 | Nevada (24-13) | L45-80 | Mar 6 | Drake (12-20) | L79-100 |
| Mar 7 | at Nevada (24-13) | L59-74 | Mar 1 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L74-81 |
| Mar 3 | vs Grand Canyon (20-12) | L60-86 | Feb 25 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W98-64 |
| Feb 28 | at Wyoming (17-15) | L62-66 | Feb 21 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W87-70 |
| Feb 24 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | L80-86 | Feb 15 | at Murray St (20-13) | W87-70 |
| Feb 21 | vs UNLV (17-17) | L66-91 | Feb 12 | vs Northern Iowa (22-13) | W91-86 |
| Feb 17 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L61-98 | Feb 9 | at Bradley (20-13) | L84-95 |
| Feb 14 | at Fresno St (12-19) | L63-93 | Feb 6 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W68-62 |
| Feb 10 | vs Colorado St (20-13) | L74-91 | Feb 3 | vs Drake (12-20) | W103-90 |
| Feb 7 | vs San Diego St (22-11) | L54-88 | Jan 31 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W103-86 |
vs
College Basketball