Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: BYU 95%, La Salle 5% at BYU.
BYU's win probability against La Salle is trending down — from 94% to 90% over the last 6 updates.
BYU's win probability against La Salle is trending down — from 96% to 93% over the last 6 updates.
BYU's win probability against La Salle has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.