Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: BYU 68%, Cincinnati 32% at BYU.
BYU's win probability against Cincinnati is trending down — from 56% to 53% over the last 6 updates.
BYU's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 61% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
BYU's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.