Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Appalachian St 56%, South Alabama 44% at Appalachian St.
Appalachian St's win probability against South Alabama has held at 43% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Appalachian St's win probability against South Alabama is trending down — from 52% to 49% over the last 6 updates.
Appalachian St's win probability against South Alabama has held at 56% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.