Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Loyola-Chicago 60%, Air Force 40% at Air Force.
Loyola-Chicago's win probability against Air Force has swung between 60% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Loyola-Chicago's win probability against Air Force has swung between 67% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Loyola-Chicago's win probability against Air Force has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.