Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Air Force
Austin Peay
|
65
D
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
62
D-
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
Austin Peay
6099
|
||
|
75
C
6099
|
Defensive |
75
C
6099
|
|
Air Force
6099
Austin Peay
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Future) |
66
D
|
Air Force
Austin Peay
| 321 | Overall | 138 |
| 323 | Power | 187 |
| 342 | Offensive | 171 |
| 229 | Defensive | 221 |
| 85 | SoS (Current) | 307 |
| 85 | SoS (Future) | 307 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Austin Peay 75%, Air Force 25% at Air Force.
Austin Peay's win probability against Air Force has held at 75% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Austin Peay's win probability against Air Force has held at 82% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Austin Peay's win probability against Air Force has held at 88% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Air Force | Neutral | At Austin Peay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 23% | 31% | 41% |
| Wk 1 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 2 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 6 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 73% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 8 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 10 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 11 | 76% | 83% | 89% |
| Wk 12 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 13 | 78% | 84% | 90% |
| Wk 14 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 15 | 79% | 86% | 90% |
| Wk 16 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 17 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 18 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 19 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 20 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 21 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 22 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 23 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 75% | 82% | 88% |
Air Force
Austin Peay
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-29 (9.4%) |
Overall |
20-9 (69%) |
|
3-15 (16.7%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Away |
9-7 (56.3%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-24 (4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-7 (30%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
17-2 (89.5%) |
|
0-10 (0%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Air Force
Austin Peay
| #263 SIUE | Best Win | #150 Queens NC |
| #258 South Dakota | Worst Loss | #275 Bellarmine |
| 14 pts vs #263 SIUE | Largest MOV | 29 pts vs #338 North Alabama |
| 42 pts vs #53 Boise St | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #275 Bellarmine |
Air Force
Austin Peay
| 61.5 | Points per Game | 79 |
| 79.9 | Points Against | 74.6 |
| 65.3 | Home PPG | 82.9 |
| 80.5 | Home PA | 71.4 |
| 57.2 | Away PPG | 76.8 |
| 78.9 | Away PA | 76.8 |
| 599-442 | Opponent Record | 385-520 |
| 124.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 234.7 |
| L 25 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 25 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Air Force
Austin Peay
| Mar 11 | Nevada (24-13) | L45-80 | Mar 7 | Queens NC (20-14) | L83-90 |
| Mar 7 | at Nevada (24-13) | L59-74 | Mar 6 | Stetson (10-21) | W69-60 |
| Mar 3 | vs Grand Canyon (20-12) | L60-86 | Feb 28 | at Bellarmine (11-19) | L97-111 |
| Feb 28 | at Wyoming (17-15) | L62-66 | Feb 25 | vs Cent Arkansas (20-12) | L88-93 |
| Feb 24 | vs San Jose St (8-24) | L80-86 | Feb 21 | at Jacksonville (10-20) | W65-61 |
| Feb 21 | vs UNLV (17-17) | L66-91 | Feb 19 | at North Florida (5-25) | W77-76 |
| Feb 17 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L61-98 | Feb 14 | vs Bellarmine (11-19) | W90-70 |
| Feb 14 | at Fresno St (12-19) | L63-93 | Feb 11 | at Queens NC (20-14) | W95-87 |
| Feb 10 | vs Colorado St (20-13) | L74-91 | Feb 7 | vs North Alabama (7-21) | W91-62 |
| Feb 7 | vs San Diego St (22-11) | L54-88 | Feb 4 | vs Lipscomb (17-13) | W87-76 |
vs
College Basketball