Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Mt Aloysius
Mt Union
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
Mt Aloysius
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Mt Aloysius
6099
Mt Union
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
91
A-
|
Mt Aloysius
Mt Union
| 392 #1055 overall |
Overall | 15 #296 overall |
| 384 #1047 overall |
Power | 14 #577 overall |
| 328 #990 overall |
Offensive | 30 #556 overall |
| 379 #1042 overall |
Defensive | 54 #613 overall |
| 288 #951 overall |
SoS (Current) | 89 #709 overall |
| 288 #951 overall |
SoS (Future) | 89 #709 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt Union 99%, Mt Aloysius 1% at Mt Union.
Mt Union's win probability against Mt Aloysius has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Mt Aloysius has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Union's win probability against Mt Aloysius has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Mt Aloysius | Neutral | At Mt Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 1 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 7 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 13 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
Mt Aloysius
Mt Union
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-21 (8.7%) |
Overall |
23-4 (85.2%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Home |
11-1 (91.7%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Away |
8-2 (80%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
2-0 (100%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
2-9 (18.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Mt Aloysius
Mt Union
| #924 PSU-Altoona | Best Win | #313 Otterbein |
| #1049 Alfred St | Worst Loss | #567 Heidelberg |
| 11 pts vs #924 PSU-Altoona | Largest MOV | 36 pts vs #804 Muhlenberg |
| 46 pts vs #848 Pitt-Bradford | Largest MOD | 14 pts vs #429 Ohio Northern |
Mt Aloysius
Mt Union
| 72.5 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 88.4 | Points Against | 70.2 |
| 78.7 | Home PPG | 85.8 |
| 89.4 | Home PA | 72.7 |
| 67.8 | Away PPG | 79.1 |
| 86 | Away PA | 70.5 |
| 306-304 | Opponent Record | 366-354 |
| 831.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 653.6 |
| L 18 | Longest Streak | W 16 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Mt Aloysius
Mt Union
| Feb 21 | vs PSU-Behrend (20-8) | L57-60 | Mar 6 | Wash & Jeff (23-7) | L77-82 |
| Feb 18 | at Carlow (4-19) | L75-77 | Feb 26 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | L82-84 |
| Feb 14 | at Hilbert (16-11) | L52-92 | Feb 18 | at Capital (9-17) | W75-63 |
| Feb 11 | vs PSU-Altoona (12-14) | W98-87 | Feb 14 | vs Wilmington OH (11-15) | W90-87 |
| Feb 7 | vs Alfred St (5-22) | W92-89 | Feb 11 | vs Heidelberg (16-13) | W85-67 |
| Feb 4 | at La Roche (14-13) | L75-94 | Feb 7 | vs Muskingum (15-11) | W88-62 |
| Jan 28 | vs Pitt-Greensburg (22-8) | L77-102 | Feb 4 | at Baldwin-Wallace (7-18) | W93-60 |
| Jan 24 | at Pitt-Bradford (15-9) | L77-91 | Jan 31 | at Otterbein (23-6) | W74-69 |
| Jan 21 | at PSU-Altoona (12-14) | L72-92 | Jan 28 | vs Marietta (9-16) | W92-71 |
| Jan 17 | at Alfred St (5-22) | L68-69 | Jan 24 | at Ohio Northern (18-9) | L50-64 |
vs
Division III College Basketball