Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Mt Aloysius
Carlow
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
63
D-
|
|
62
D-
|
Power |
62
D-
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
65
D
6099
|
|
Mt Aloysius
6099
Carlow
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
65
D
6099
|
|
Mt Aloysius
6099
Carlow
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
66
D
|
Mt Aloysius
Carlow
| 392 #1055 overall |
Overall | 380 #1042 overall |
| 384 #1047 overall |
Power | 383 #1046 overall |
| 328 #990 overall |
Offensive | 359 #1021 overall |
| 379 #1042 overall |
Defensive | 357 #1019 overall |
| 288 #951 overall |
SoS (Current) | 347 #1010 overall |
| 288 #951 overall |
SoS (Future) | 347 #1010 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Mt Aloysius 59%, Carlow 41% at Mt Aloysius.
Mt Aloysius' win probability against Carlow has held at 40% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Aloysius' win probability against Carlow has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Mt Aloysius' win probability against Carlow has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Carlow | Neutral | At Mt Aloysius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 1 | 25% | 33% | 42% |
| Wk 2 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 3 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 4 | 62% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 46% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 13 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 14 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 15 | 38% | 48% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 19 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 22 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 23 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 40% | 50% | 59% |
Mt Aloysius
Carlow
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
2-21 (8.7%) |
Overall |
4-19 (17.4%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Home |
2-8 (20%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Away |
2-10 (16.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus D3 Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-12 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-11 (0%) |
|
2-9 (18.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-8 (33.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
Mt Aloysius
Carlow
| #924 PSU-Altoona | Best Win | #924 PSU-Altoona |
| #1049 Alfred St | Worst Loss | #1049 Alfred St |
| 11 pts vs #924 PSU-Altoona | Largest MOV | 15 pts vs #924 PSU-Altoona |
| 46 pts vs #848 Pitt-Bradford | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #913 Grove City |
Mt Aloysius
Carlow
| 72.5 | Points per Game | 69.4 |
| 88.4 | Points Against | 82.1 |
| 78.7 | Home PPG | 70.3 |
| 89.4 | Home PA | 81 |
| 67.8 | Away PPG | 69.4 |
| 86 | Away PA | 83.9 |
| 306-304 | Opponent Record | 279-325 |
| 831.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 878 |
| L 18 | Longest Streak | L 10 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Mt Aloysius
Carlow
| Feb 21 | vs PSU-Behrend (20-8) | L57-60 | Feb 21 | vs Hilbert (16-11) | L76-90 |
| Feb 18 | at Carlow (4-19) | L75-77 | Feb 18 | vs Mt Aloysius (2-21) | W77-75 |
| Feb 14 | at Hilbert (16-11) | L52-92 | Feb 14 | at Pitt-Greensburg (22-8) | L61-83 |
| Feb 11 | vs PSU-Altoona (12-14) | W98-87 | Feb 7 | at Pitt-Bradford (15-9) | L71-96 |
| Feb 7 | vs Alfred St (5-22) | W92-89 | Feb 4 | at PSU-Altoona (12-14) | W94-79 |
| Feb 4 | at La Roche (14-13) | L75-94 | Jan 31 | vs Alfred St (5-22) | W70-62 |
| Jan 28 | vs Pitt-Greensburg (22-8) | L77-102 | Jan 28 | at La Roche (14-13) | L85-103 |
| Jan 24 | at Pitt-Bradford (15-9) | L77-91 | Jan 24 | at PSU-Behrend (20-8) | L50-70 |
| Jan 21 | at PSU-Altoona (12-14) | L72-92 | Jan 17 | vs Pitt-Bradford (15-9) | L83-85 |
| Jan 17 | at Alfred St (5-22) | L68-69 | Jan 14 | vs PSU-Altoona (12-14) | L79-82 |
vs
Division III College Basketball